Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.968275 4.263305 4.578829 4.942956 5.353579 5.804666 6.340942
2025-05-11 3.468936 3.877571 4.342879 4.918284 5.619821 6.459768 7.561279
2025-05-18 3.146365 3.608628 4.157291 4.868814 5.786358 6.958759 8.622073
2025-05-25 2.873771 3.356159 3.945892 4.737799 5.803281 7.236095 9.404951
2025-06-01 2.675363 3.170955 3.791796 4.650334 5.848646 7.535235 10.246651
2025-06-08 2.549539 3.063767 3.722921 4.660508 6.017182 8.016733 11.441529
2025-06-15 2.463385 2.999002 3.700756 4.726606 6.265032 8.641790 12.996975
2025-06-22 2.311152 2.835947 3.532761 4.568784 6.157906 8.688870 13.541243
2025-06-29 2.192864 2.711230 3.408424 4.462263 6.115161 8.829704 14.284174
2025-07-06 2.093425 2.606431 3.304709 4.376654 6.093974 8.999404 15.117506
2025-07-13 2.024636 2.539957 3.250577 4.360231 6.180568 9.366376 16.455177
2025-07-20 1.988876 2.517192 3.256920 4.435598 6.425100 10.055412 18.725246
2025-07-27 1.949708 2.490500 3.259951 4.512720 6.693899 10.864143 21.685038
2025-08-03 1.887936 2.428902 3.208288 4.499016 6.802960 11.380718 24.143324
2025-08-10 1.823913 2.360814 3.142639 4.456525 6.853407 11.782449 26.477086
2025-08-17 1.747234 2.270798 3.038705 4.342118 6.755728 11.840063 27.753095
2025-08-24 1.684990 2.199594 2.960278 4.265581 6.722969 12.041243 29.652411
2025-08-31 1.646790 2.162494 2.932866 4.274491 6.858260 12.665781 33.552334
2025-09-07 1.621938 2.144190 2.933737 4.332334 7.098148 13.603093 39.583212
2025-09-14 1.556392 2.061764 2.828601 4.194127 6.916988 13.413932 40.282223
2025-09-21 1.503917 1.997677 2.750557 4.100660 6.822832 13.446386 42.199279
2025-09-28 1.458171 1.942435 2.684627 4.025431 6.760916 13.558228 44.696836
2025-10-05 1.427264 1.909032 2.652846 4.010988 6.829850 14.055682 50.027223